Actual vs. Estimate
Modeled cost vs. ShipHero-billed actual — past 4 weeks. Tells you which rates in the model need updating.
Low data coverage: only 0% of orders have ShipHero actuals — variance numbers will sharpen as more orders ship over the next few weeks. 13 order(s) are LTL (Solara-Pro / Plungebox-chiller) — those don't have ShipHero data by design.
Total modeled
$0
comparable orders only
Total actual
$0
ShipHero billed
Net variance
$0
0.0%
Coverage
0%
0 of 47 orders
SKUs to review
21
variance > 15%
Per-SKU variance
Sorted by absolute variance — highest drift first. LTL items (no ShipHero data) at the bottom. "Suggested rate" = median observed actual cost per unit.
| SKU | Sample | Modeled freight | Avg actual | Variance | Suggested rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10ML-EUCALYPTUS | 141 | $5.00 | $16.44 | +$11.44 (229%) | $10.00 | update |
| undrwr-1pk-lg | 11 | $6.00 | $12.87 | +$6.87 (114%) | $6.90 | update |
| Solara-Pro-wooden | 5 | $620.00 | $8.96 | -$611.04 (-99%) | $9.10 | update |
| undrwr-3pk-lg | 18 | $6.00 | $11.09 | +$5.09 (85%) | $8.16 | update |
| R-CONCENT | 17 | $6.00 | $10.67 | +$4.67 (78%) | $9.59 | update |
| Clean-kit | 133 | $9.00 | $15.24 | +$6.24 (69%) | $9.70 | update |
| BAMBOO FLOOR MATS | 37 | $10.00 | $16.76 | +$6.76 (68%) | $10.84 | update |
| desk-red | 4 | $35.00 | $13.78 | -$21.22 (-61%) | $16.00 | update |
| Full-red | 10 | $50.00 | $20.38 | -$29.62 (-59%) | $18.97 | update |
| Coldtub-v1 | 9 | $17.00 | $25.95 | +$8.95 (53%) | $13.82 | update |
| PULSE-ELEC | 10 | $15.00 | $22.70 | +$7.70 (51%) | $19.57 | update |
| Beige-Red1 | 7 | $28.00 | $40.94 | +$12.94 (46%) | $27.36 | update |
| Steamkit-V1 | 47 | $25.00 | $15.44 | -$9.56 (-38%) | $13.56 | update |
| Steamkit-red1 | 107 | $28.00 | $17.32 | -$10.68 (-38%) | $16.86 | update |
| undrwr-3pk-sm | 3 | $6.00 | $8.25 | +$2.25 (37%) | $8.16 | update |
| undrwr-3pk-xl | 5 | $6.00 | $8.24 | +$2.24 (37%) | $8.16 | update |
| Pulse-Pro | 88 | $64.00 | $40.82 | -$23.18 (-36%) | $43.47 | update |
| SAUNA-GO | 10 | $35.00 | $22.52 | -$12.48 (-36%) | $19.16 | update |
| undrwr-3pk-md | 14 | $6.00 | $8.04 | +$2.04 (34%) | $8.16 | update |
| SAUNA-FAN | 50 | $9.00 | $11.86 | +$2.86 (32%) | $7.74 | update |
| undrwr-1pk-md | 11 | $7.00 | $9.03 | +$2.03 (29%) | $6.65 | update |
| backrest | 101 | $10.00 | $11.29 | +$1.29 (13%) | $9.10 | |
| REPLACEMENT-STEAMER | 70 | $15.00 | $13.08 | -$1.92 (-13%) | $12.77 | |
| undrwr-1pk-sm | 5 | $6.00 | $6.53 | +$0.53 (9%) | $6.36 | |
| Plungbx-XL | 8 | $28.00 | $26.34 | -$1.66 (-6%) | $16.22 | |
| Red-wand | 46 | $12.00 | $12.53 | +$0.53 (4%) | $11.06 | |
| PULSE-CONTROL-BOX | 19 | $7.00 | $6.92 | -$0.08 (-1%) | $6.88 | |
| plungebox-pro-dsg | — | $17.00 | — | — | — | |
| Sauna-XL | — | $28.48 | — | — | — | |
| undrwr-1pk-xl | — | $6.00 | — | — | — | |
| Plungebox-chillerLTL | 6 | $85.00 | $56.58 | no ShipHero data (LTL) | — | |
| Solara-ProLTL | 63 | $616.00 | $10.30 | no ShipHero data (LTL) | — | |
| FORGE-OUTLTL | 6 | $1,000.00 | $16.29 | no ShipHero data (LTL) | — | |
| SOLARA-2PLTL | 7 | $800.00 | $10.01 | no ShipHero data (LTL) | — |
Per-zone variance
Compares modeled cost (zone multiplier × base freight + pick-pack) to ShipHero actuals. Suggested multiplier solves the equation backwards from observed totals.
| Zone | Orders | Current mult. | Modeled | Actual | Variance | Suggested mult. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zone 2 | 79 | 0.70× | $5,799.36 | $1,618.14 | -$4,181.22 (-72%) | 0.24× |
| Zone 3 | 32 | 0.80× | $3,422.57 | $997.63 | -$2,424.94 (-71%) | 0.28× |
| Zone 4 | 135 | 0.90× | $12,245.10 | $3,870.88 | -$8,374.22 (-68%) | 0.36× |
| Zone 5 | 143 | 1.00× | $9,842.76 | $4,391.59 | -$5,451.17 (-55%) | 0.66× |
| Zone 6 | 97 | 1.12× | $13,528.28 | $1,888.98 | -$11,639.30 (-86%) | 0.12× |
| Zone 7 | 111 | 1.25× | $11,397.61 | $1,798.86 | -$9,598.75 (-84%) | 0.18× |
| Zone 8 | 370 | 1.40× | $32,121.92 | $7,941.04 | -$24,180.88 (-75%) | 0.38× |
Container costs
Overseas freight + container inbounding. Estimates are $8,500 / $1,100 per container by default; actuals come from ForceGet invoices once Task #6 ships.
| Category | Containers in window | Modeled | Actual | Variance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overseas freight | 0 | $0.00 | — | no actual data yet |
| Container inbounding | 0 | $0.00 | — | no actual data yet |